The % Game – % Chance of each Arsenal Player being in Arteta’s Squad for 2020/21

Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the % game.


With the transfers window now open and in an attempt to take my mind off the upcoming FA Cup Final against Chelsea, I tried to assess the current squad and see how many chances each player has to still be at the Club, next season.


It will be a strange window, unlike any other before, both because of our financial struggles and the complexity of the current market, much drier than it has ever been, in terms of cash.

Only few Clubs will have huge resources to spend and I don’t expect the usual amount of deals agreed and money spent, so I feel we won’t be seeing many changes – whether we like it or not.


Below you will find my thoughts on our current players, can’t wait to hear yours.



Players not for sale which will definitely be there past October, 6th


100% the future

Bukayo Saka: our own prodigy just penned a 4-years deal and will be integral to the team. In which role, though?

Gabriel Martinelli: same as Saka, he will hope to keep impressing, once he recovers from his knee injury

Pablo Marí: signed in January, he will have a chance to prove himself once he’s fit again

Cédric Soares: signed a long-term deal after being released by Southampton, he will be a valuable squad player

David Luiz: had his contract extended for another season, not going anywhere. Hopefully will improve his consistency

William Saliba: the new boy will try to claim a place in the starting XI despite his young age

Bernd Leno: top performer with Auba, a mainstay between the posts despite Martínez’s emergence

Kieran Tierney: Arteta is a big fan of the tough Scotsman and so are we, one of the few reliable defenders we have

Nicolas Pépé: last summer’s marquee signing, had a promising debut season and will build on that, hopefully



Players very likely to still be here, whether we want it or not



Héctor Bellerín: currently alternating good and bad performances, it will take a mega-offer for him to go

Mesut Özil: he’s going nowhere and will see out his contract. It will require some convincing (£££) to move him on

Shkodran Mustafi: might have been sold but now he’s injured until after the window closes. Could  get a new deal

Calum Chambers: recovering from a knee injury, will try to establish himself once for all, next season

Joe Willock: might be loaned but can’t see him leaving permanently. Still very young and a valuable option off the bench

Granit Xhaka: his recovery after the bust-up with the fans has been sensational but might go if the right offer comes in

Reiss Nelson: needs to do more, he will challenge Pépé for the RW spot and get minutes in the FA Cup

Eddie Nketiah: Arteta is hyping him up and with Laca and Auba futures up in the air, we will need him.



Players that will go if the right opportunity comes in but won’t be pushed away


Ainsley Maitland-Niles: his versatility is an asset but I feel the Club will cash in if someone shows a concrete interest

Emiliano Martínez: Could challenge Leno for the #1 shirt but his contract expires in 2022, it’s either renewal or sale

Alexandre Lacazette: His time in London seems to be up, but it depends on Auba. Could be used in a swap deal



Players likely to go, even for offers below market value


A face who no longer fits

Sead Kolašinac: Simply not up to the standards set by Arteta, the Club will look at a nice capital gain and reinvest

Sokratis Not very willing to go, apparently, but not happy to sit on the bench. Will be offloaded, eventually

Lucas Torreira: His profile doesn’t fit Arteta style, the Club might be  sell for a fee higher or equal to the one paid

Mattéo Guendouzi: can’t see him getting back from his out-of-favour status, will go for the right money



Players whose future most certainly is away from north London, in different ways

Holding 3

Sellable Asset?

Matt Macey: At 25, he simply has to go – even for free

Mohamed Elneny: Has no future in London, he will go out on loan again if no offers come in

Rob Holding: with so many centre-backs available, he seems to be the one who will be sacrificed.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang: the big question mark over our future, my gut feeling is that he will go, eventually. Arteta seems optimistic but the only real hope to see him stay is a win in the FA Cup final and a place in the Europa League. Even if we pull it off in Wembley, his renewal is far from being guaranteed due to our economical restrictions.


..and you What do you think?

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