Welcome to another weekly betting blog
where we try and put some much-needed cash into our pockets from those nasty bookies.
Firstly regular readers will know last week I said the word round the Twitter campfire
was Wayne Rooney AND Cesc Fabregas could have been announced last Friday.
Well after
tipping both deals to happen from “information” gathered from an unnamed source
I am now saying the said campfire has been pissed on from a great height and it
looks certain Cesc will no longer be rejoining The Arsenal.
Rooney I’d take
with a massive pinch of salt too as the morning after I wrote this I had a text
off BFG (Best Friend Gaz) whom is on speaking/texting terms with a couple of ex-Arsenal
players and an ex-Vice Chairman and one of the ex players said he’d heard
nothing was happening anytime soon, he was as good as his word as since last
Friday nothing has indeed happened!
If you still
want to back Cesc to join and think the deal is indeed so secret even the lad
himself isn’t aware he’s an Arsenal player the odds are 6/1 now. The odds on
him staying at Barca are 1/10. That says it all really.
As for
Rooney the smart money is on him joining Jose Mourinho at Chelski 4/5. To stay
at Utd is 5/4 and to become a Gooner is a 8/1 long shot – a long shot by John
Jensen (and not the net buster he did in Euro 92 or the curler for Arsenal).
A player we
know for a fact Arsenal have bid for is Luis Suarez. For Suarez to be putting
the bite on opposition defenders whilst in an Arsenal shirt after this window
is odds on 5/6 which is hardly going to have the bookies crying.
This week we
will continue our look at the Divisional Betting Markets and this week brings
us on to the Premier League.
The Bookies can’t
really separate City, United or Chelsea and a lot of bookies actually have them
all at the same odds of 9/4. Manchester City have shown Arsenal that players
can be brought in early and one Bookie has them at a best priced 23/10. Chelski’s
best price is 5/2 with Manchester United at 13/5. The odds on Arsenal to become
Champions again are 11/1 and with no signings at the moment those odds are
probably about right, if we do break the habit of a lifetime of summers and
actually splash some serious cash then those odds will drop.
The odds on
being relegated are headed by Crystal Palace at 4/7 with Hull City at 13/19
followed by Cardiff City at 7/4. A lively outsider is Sunderland where quite
literally anything could happen there this season they can be backed at 5/1 to
drop through the trapdoor, Sunderland’s odds of 5/1 must be worth a little
wager if only due to the fact Vito Mannone could be first choice up there this
year! If you fancy The Spuds to crumble if Monkey Boy Bale leaves then 600/1 is
your price.
The Annual
Sack Race is headed by our old pal Alan Pardew at 3/1. This is probably due to
the fact JFK (Joe Fucking Kinnea) has
rolled into the Toon and is throwing his considerable weight around, I`d expect
a lot of off-field fireworks this season up in the NorthEast with JFK and Di
Canio in attendance, Di Canio is a loose cannon and can be had at 12/1 to leave
his post first. Arsene Wenger’s odds on being first to leave are once again
66/1 and to be honest we all know he will never be sacked at Arsenal. For no
manager to leave their post this season the odds are also 66/1.
Top Scorer
Betting – This market is headed by Van Penis at a decent 4/1. Aguero is next
priced at 9/1 with Rooney at a very tempting 16/1 Each Way ( if he joins
Chelski or indeed Arsenal then he will play upfront and be chomping at the bit
to stick it up Utd ). Theo and Giroud can be both had at 40/1, Theo has
improved his goal tally year on year and those odds offer a tasty each way
tickle. Another decent outside bet is Alvaro Negredo at 28/1 personally I`m
interested in seeing how Wilfried Bony copes with English Defences and I`m
tempted to have an Each-Way bet on him at 50/1 as Swansea are very attacking
and he will get plenty of chances. If you think Podolski can manage to stay
injury free and actually stay on the pitch long enough having not being
substituted to top the Goal Charts his odds are 100/1.
A few
interesting season long bets worth looking at are-
A Player to
Suffer a Broken Leg at The Britannia Stadium this season 14/1
Wenger to be
sent to the Stands this season 9/1
Holloway to
be fined for making post-match comments 7/2
John Terry
to lose Chelski Captaincy after affair with team-mates wife/girlfriend 25/1
Top Assist
Maker Betting.
This market
is headed by Mata at 11/1 with Silva & Hazard both priced at 14/1. Santi
Cazorla is a MUST each way bet here at 20/1. Coutinho can’t be ignored at 16/1
each way either.
PFA Player
of the Season- The market is headed by Monkey Boy Bale at 6/1 with Van Penis at
13/2. Dont rule out Mata or Cazorla out here at 16/1 and 20/1 respectively.
Yaya Toure must be in with a decent shout at 33/1. Personally I think if
Koscielny keeps up his impressive form he must be in with a shout but I have
yet to find a price on this occurance.
Young PFA
Player of the Season- You cant really get a fag paper between four players here
with Benteke, Wilshere, Hazard and Coutinho all priced around 5/1. If The Ox
manages to get a run in the side and lives up to his potential then 40/1 could
offer some value here. Matthew Lowton is a stand-out bet here though at 100/1.
This Weeks
£10 Acca is –
Blackpool,
QPR, Brentford & Forest Green all to win which pays £144.90
This Weeks
£10 Unders/Over 2.5 Goals Bet is –
Blackburn/Forest
OVERS , Huddersfield/QPR OVERS , Wolves/Gillingham OVERS & Manchester
Utd/Wigan OVERS pays £120.27
As always
only ever bet with money you can afford to lose. Feel free to discuss any or
all of the above with me on Twitter @yorkshiregunner
Andy Wood
Born in Mining Town of Doncaster in 1973. Supported Arsenal FC thanks to my first footballing hero who was Pat Jennings whom I loved. My first Arsenal Game was an away game at Grimsby Town in January 1986 ( 4-3 win thanks to a Charlie Nicholas Hat-Trick of Free-kicks). I’ve since followed The Arsenal Home, Away & Abroad and my wife still doesn’t know how much I paid for the CL final ticket v Barca!
My All-time Fave’ Arsenal player is probably Dennis Bergkamp although I have soft spots for Tony Adams, Rocky & Steve Williams (!).
I`m a Proud Father of 6 who doesn’t get to as many games as I’d like for financial reasons (6 kids, you do the maths) but lives and breathes The Arsenal.
I write occasional blogs.
Geoff Arsenal said that Rooney and Suarez will sign tomorrow